UFC 309 predictions: Jones vs. Miocici

Postado por Maurício Oliveira, em 11/11 - Atualizado há 24 dias

UFC 309 marks the long-awaited return of Jon Jones to the octagon to defend his heavyweight belt against former champion Stipe Miocic at Madison Square Garden in New York on November 16. Check out our full analysis and predictions for UFC 309.

Palpites UFC 309

Veronica Hardy x Eduarda Moura

Bet: Hardy wins

Analysis: I’ve already abandoned the hype at the Galpão da Luta gym. Moura, after having problems making weight in the lower division, is now moving up to flyweight. Veronica Hardy is on a good run, coming off the back of three decision wins. She hasn’t beaten very impressive opponents, but if she survives the first round, which is where Moura will come out with everything, she has every chance of winning by decision. Given her fighting style, Eduarda Moura’s gas doesn’t seem very reliable to me, especially if she can’t get the takedowns.

Bassil Hafez vs Oban Elliott

Bet: Hafez wins

Analysis: I see Bassil as more complete, both on the feet and on the ground. And his aggressiveness should make the difference. Elliott has two wins in the UFC, but they were against opponents he should have beaten before the judges’ decision. Both are tough, but I see Hafez with more weapons. Elliott is 26, while Hafez is 32. With regard to height and wingspan, there’s little difference, it won’t influence the fight.

Mickey Gall x Ramiz Brahimaj

Bet: Brahimaj wins

Analysis: Gall is on a terrible three-fight losing streak and will now give his last performance in the UFC. Brahimaj has no less than ten wins by finish. Even though Gall hasn’t been finished in his career yet, I see Ramiz with a good chance of taking him down, controlling him and winning by judges’ decision or, why not, bringing Mickey his first loss by finish.

Marcin Tybura vs Jhonata Diniz

Bet: Diniz wins

Analysis: Tybura, at 39, is no longer so dangerous. Diniz has only recently arrived in the UFC, but he’s flying. He has knockout power and showed good gas in his last fight when it was needed. The only worry is if Tybura wants to invest only in wrestling. But even then, in the clinch, Jhonata will have plenty of options to land a killer blow.

Jim Miller vs Damon Jackson

Bet: Jackson wins

Analysis: Despite their advanced ages, 41 and 36 respectively, both have good stamina. In Miller’s last fight, he was very uncomfortable with King Green’s aggression. Damon has a similar style, fighting forward, which could put Miller under pressure. Jim is a beast on the ground, but the last time Jackson was finished was more than ten years ago. I see Damon with more volume and winning on judges’ decision, I think it’s hard for this fight to end sooner.

Jonathan Martinez vs Marcus McGhee

Bet: McGhee wins

Analysis: I don’t think the UFC likes Martinez very much. In May, he lost to Aldo in a fight in which he was already at a disadvantage due to nerves. He clearly didn’t show all his technique. However, now he’s up against McGhee, who is a beast in all areas and I don’t see him leaving much room for Martinez to fight the way he wants. Marcus has more weapons to win and I think mentally, he comes into the fight more focused.

Chris Weidman vs Erik Anders

Bet: Anders wins

Analysis: Weidman, at 40, is fighting almost in slow motion and his gas isn’t that good either. Anders, if he comes with a game of high pressure and takedowns, could even get a knockout against Chris. There will be plenty of opportunities.

Mauricio Ruffy x James Llontop

Bet: Ruffy wins

Analysis: How can you predict against someone from Fighting Nerds? The stage of the academy is incredible and there are some athletes who are making a lot of noise, including Ruffy. It’s even hard to find athletes who want to fight him! Llontop accepted and should be well paid for it, but in terms of fighting, he’s slower and has little repertoire. Ruffy is a machine on his feet and we haven’t seen his ground game yet, but I don’t doubt that there are some surprises in store. It should be a smooth victory with a good chance of happening before the end of the third round.

Viviane Araújo x Karine Silva

Bet: Silva wins

Analysis: Viviane is a high-level and complete athlete, but at 37, she no longer has the same performance as before. Her last defeats were to athletes who were faster on their feet and who could control her on the ground. Karine Silva has all these qualities and more. She’s young, also very complete, with knockout power and especially finishing power. The only factor that could be a problem is that Karine sometimes tires in the third round.

Bo Nickal x Paul Craig

Bet: Nickal wins

Analysis: The UFC has set everything up for a Bo Nickal victory and he really needs to win convincingly to justify the hype. Paul Craig is coming off two defeats, but he’s a dangerous guy on the ground if his opponent doesn’t give him a chance. But my guess is that Bo will finally justify all the hype with a stylish performance.

Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler

Bet: Oliveira wins

Analysis: It’s sure to be a great fight. Both have an aggressive style and a great desire and need to win. Charles in his last fight fought well, but was more restrained… Chandler hasn’t fought for over two years, while he was waiting for McGregor, he’s now 38, and I’m not sure his explosiveness will be effective. Charles can take a lot of beating and his finishes are always dangerous. I doubt it will go all the way to the judges’ decision.

Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic

Bet: Jones wins

Analysis: It’s a strange fight: to be Jones’ last, I think he would need a more dangerous athlete, even though Miocic has a lot of skills, he’s 42 and hasn’t fought for more than four years! It should be a walkover for Jones, he won’t need a decision from the judges.

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Best UFC 309 predictions: Jones vs. Miocici

  • Jhonata Diniz
  • Marcus McGhee
  • Karine Silva

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocici schedule

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocici will take place on November 16 at Madison Square Garden, New York, NY. The event will feature a total of 12 fights. The first preliminary card will start at 20:00 (Brasília time), while the second preliminary card will start at 22:00, followed by the main card, which will start at 00:00.

UFC 309: Jones vs Miocici where to watch

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocici is coming up and, to make sure you don’t miss any details, we’ve organized all the options for broadcasting the fights. Check it out:

Take advantage of these options so you don’t miss a moment of this great event!